research to find new opportunities and open doors for missionaries and missional lives

A May 13 article, “7 in 10 Christians killed worldwide last year came from just one country?” in Christianity Today is making the rounds on Twitter.

It quotes a statistic from the Jubilee campaign:

Nearly 1,000 Nigerian Christians were killed in 2012, and more than 100 have died in the first few months of 2013, according to Jubilee Campaign. Executive director Ann Buwalda says this accounts for “almost 70 percent of Christians killed globally” last year, making Nigeria “the most lethal country for Christians by a huge margin.”

UPDATE 5/22: I have since found some original sources for this:
“More Christians killed in northern Nigerian jihad last year than in the rest of the world combined” (JihadWatch.org) led me to an article of the same name on AINA by Ann Buwalda. Buwalda says she put her information at http://factsnigeriaviolence.wordpress.com/spreadsheet/2012-3/. However, the data there is a list of the incidents in Nigeria. Nothing in the AINA article described data from the rest of the world.

This is a horrifying situation. I don’t want to say it isn’t.

However, the answer to CT’s “posed question” is–no.

At least, it’s very doubtful. Unfortunately, the original source hasn’t been published anywhere. It must have reached CT based on a talk, press release, or email. I can’t track it any further–but I’m very skeptical.

One piece of evidence against this: the 2013 Status of Global Mission (International Bulletin of Missionary Research) estimates 100,000 were martyrs in 2012: “people who died prematurely as a result of human hostility in situations of witness.” This estimate is published every year in the annual table, and is based on the work on martyrdom and persecution published in the World Christian Encyclopedia and maintained by the Center for the Study of Global Christianity.

Another piece of evidence comes from simply considering the context of the Nigerian attacks. They were killed in the midst of the unrest and attacks by Boko Haram. Similar things are happening in Iran, Syria, North Korea, Sudan, Central African Republic, northern Mali, and Libya–not to mention the frequent violence against Christians in India. Plus, there are attacks on Christians by organized crime elements in Mexico, Central Asia, etc.

That 1,000 people (or more) have died in northern Nigeria is a bad thing. We should treat it as such. But it is not the end of Christianity in Nigeria (or even a very significant threat to Christianity there–Nigeria is, after all, about half Christian, with about 50 million affiliated Christians making it one of the strongest centers of Christianity in Africa). And it is certainly not the worst center of persecution worldwide.

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Adapted from “Startup mistakes,” cross-pollinated and applied to mission.

“one mistake that kills startups: not making something users want.” We all need the Gospel. We don’t all want the Gospel. We therefore have to present the Gospel in a way that is spiritually attractive – in a way that is a blessing – (without watering it down.)

The 18 mistakes:

1. Single Founder. Missions send people out in teams, generally speaking. YWAM always requires new bases have a team. We at MUP recruit to teams (even if the team is a broader affinity block or cluster facilitator team). To have one founder “is a vote of no confidence; it means the founder couldn’t talk any of his friends into starting the company with him… Starting a startup is too hard for one person.” Need people to generate ideas, “talk you out of stupid decisions, cheer you up when things go wrong.”

2. Bad location. Startup “hubs” are better for startups than other locations. “Standards are higher; people are more sympathetic to what you’re doing; the kind of people you want to hire want to live there; supporting industries are there; the people you run into in chance meetings are in the same business.” The same is true of pioneer mission: some places are better than others, because there is a greater likelihood of running into a Person of Peace.

3. Marginal niche. “Choosing a small, obscure niche in the hope of avoiding competition… if you make anything good, you’re going to have competition.” Do we go to places where it is “easier” in order to avoid competition/persecution? Are we “shrinking from big problems”? (Why are more people working among minorities in Thailand than among the Thai, for example?)

4. Derivative Idea. “Many of the applications we get are imitations of some existing company.” The principles of a pioneer mission & CPM are universally applicable, but the individual tactics have to change from situation to situation. Just because an all-night prayer meeting or 24-hour prayer house worked in one spot doesn’t mean it will work somewhere else.

5. Obstinancy. “Startups are more like science, where you need to follow the trail wherever it leads. So don’t get too attached to your original plan, because it’s probably wrong… but openness to new ideas has to be tuned just right. Switching to a new idea every week will be equally fatal.” Seth Godin’s written an excellent little book on this subject called “The Dip.” Jesus spoke to this when he talked about leaving a town that was not responsive.

6. Hiring Bad Programmers. Or Bad Disciple-makers.

7. Choosing the wrong platform. “How do you pick the right platform? The usual way is to hire good programmers and let them choose.”

8. Slowness in launching. “Startups make all kinds of excuses for delaying their launch.” Missions do too.

9. Launching too early. “The danger here is that you ruin your reputation.” In a pioneer context, probably the equivalent here is launching before you have adequate language/cultural acquisition – or perhaps launching too big. (“Go slow to go fast.”)

10. Having no specific user in mind. Which sociopolitical grouping are you trying to reach as a start? You can’t reach all 100 million of group X – you’re going to start somewhere. The approach and platform has to be tailored to the sub-group.

11. Raising too little money. A pioneer mission is a significant enterprise and should be treated as such, in my view. The average strategic missionary unit probably needs a budget of about $100,000 per year for most places (when you consider programs, travel, plus personal expenses etc).

12. Spending too much. “Burning through too much money is not as common as it used to be. Founders seem to have learned that lesson. Plus it keeps getting cheaper to start a startup… classic way to burn through cash is by hiring a lot of people.” You don’t need a big team to effect change.

13. Raising too much money. “Once you take a lot of money it gets harder to change direction…”

14. Poor investor management. “You shouldn’t ignore them, because they may have useful insights. But neither should you let them run the company. That’s supposed to be your job. If investors had sufficient vision to run the companies they fund, why didn’t they start them?”

15. Sacrificing users to (supposed) profit. Or, building a large congregation or denomination at the expense of empowering individual believers to make disciples. You get a huge first generation – but that’s it. Multi generational growth is difficult if not impossible.

16. Not wanting to get your hands dirty. “Nearly all programmers would rather spend their time writing code and have someone else handle the messy business of extracting money from it.” Most evangelists would rather evangelize themselves than teach others to evangelize. Ditto for any missionary gift. “If you’re going to attract users, you’ll probably have to get up from your computer and go find some.”

17. Fights between founders. “Surprisingly common… about 20% of the startups we’ve funded have had a founder leave… A founder leaving doesn’t necessarily kill a startup, though… Most of the disputes I’ve seen could have been avoided if they’d been more careful about who they started a company with.”

18. A half-hearted effort. “The most common type of failure is not one that makes spectacular mistakes, but the one that doesn’t do much of anything–the one we never even hear about, because it was some project a couple guys started on the side while working their day jobs, but which never got anywhere and was gradually abandoned… Statistically, if you want to avoid failure, it would seem like the most important thing is to quit your day job.” How does this translate to bi-vocational pastors? Do bi-vocationals start movements?

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