The people clusters where the task will nearly 3X by 2050

Earlier, I presented a list of the projected populations of people groups by 2050. The good folks at Joshua Project sent me a variation of the sheet with % AGR, which stirred me up with the question: what are the people group clusters where the remaining task is growing fastest? This is a simple calculation (pop. 2025 / pop. 2015, sort in descending order), yet very revealing. Below are the least-reached clusters this methodology projects to be the fastest growing. (The Fulani and Hausa are two stunning examples; I’m not sure they would actually reach 100 million-plus by 2050, but these projections do reflect the actual growth rates of the regions they are in.)

This is the biggest reason I am such a proponent of movements: we need Gospel spread that is both sustainable and faster than the population growth!

PeopleCluster LR TOTAL 2015 TOTAL 2025 TOTAL 2050 Multiple
Guera-Naba of Chad Y 494,700 673,789 1,702,765 3.44
Fulani / Fulbe Y 39,826,400 51,778,450 119,435,539 3.00
Arab, Shuwa Y 4,471,000 5,858,573 13,390,174 2.99
Hausa Y 44,084,800 57,165,245 131,175,276 2.98
Susu Y 1,716,600 2,224,584 5,099,561 2.97
Songhai Y 6,475,400 8,390,981 19,230,323 2.97
Afar Y 3,136,000 4,134,919 9,309,380 2.97
Malinke-Jula Y 2,385,400 3,090,072 7,077,356 2.97
Malinke Y 11,083,800 14,342,111 32,770,508 2.96
Kanuri-Saharan Y 11,021,400 14,295,126 32,530,536 2.95
Soninke Y 3,055,900 3,948,208 8,991,717 2.94
Malinke-Bambara Y 6,143,700 7,926,202 17,995,310 2.93
Atlantic-Wolof Y 6,776,900 8,731,480 19,778,683 2.92
Tuareg Y 3,397,100 4,371,184 9,802,974 2.89
Somali Y 23,521,100 30,750,306 67,775,039 2.88
Bantu, Swahili Y 5,902,500 7,654,689 16,568,128 2.81
Arab, Hassaniya Y 5,750,800 7,257,711 15,490,037 2.69
Ouaddai-Fur Y 3,982,100 5,032,096 10,256,077 2.58
Beja Y 3,763,000 4,502,722 7,445,270 1.98
Nubian Y 2,708,070 3,228,471 5,263,967 1.94
Arab, Sudan Y 35,004,100 41,683,948 67,637,840 1.93
Berber-Saharan Y 1,000,800 1,189,768 1,921,837 1.92
Bedouin, Saharan Y 3,551,100 4,218,334 6,778,349 1.91
Arab, Libyan Y 4,380,600 5,200,611 8,350,225 1.91

2 COMMENTS

  1. Steve Schirmer says:

    Are most of these in Africa?

    • Justin Long says:

      I think so, yes. I’m writing while traveling but that’s my recollection. It makes sense because that’s the highest population growth area right now.

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