Elders need the Gospel too
The UN definition of an adult is an individual over the age of 15. In 1900, adults were 1.1 billion out of 1.6 billion total people (so there were more over-15s than under-15s). Today there are 7.5 billion total people, of whom 5.5 billion are adults (leaving 2 billion children).
By 2050, there will likely be 7.6 billion adults in the midst of 9.7 billion people, or roughly the same ratio.Some places have higher birth rates and therefore younger (on average) populations. In others – and particularly in some unevangelized regions – declining birth rates means the population is ‘aging’.
In the table below, we look at the situation in a slightly different fashion: the total population under the age of 15, versus the total population over 65; or, children vs. seniors. The final column shows the ratio between these two populations, presented as children divided by seniors. In low-income countries, for example, children under the age of 15 outnumber seniors six times over.
This kind of ratio suggests how ministry resources might be strategically allocated. In low-income countries, obviously more resources should be devoted to ministry to children than to ministry to seniors, in the sense that there are more children to minister to. But in many countries, the division is nearly equal. People are living longer, and having fewer children.
We must become just as good at ministering to the elderly (especially in places where the ratio is under 1.0) as we are at ministering to children. Unfortunately, anecdotally it appears to me there are far more short-term trips to minister to children than to senior citizens.
Region
Under-15s
Over-65s
15:65 ratio
WORLD
2 072 893
1 461 440
1.42
Low-income countries
448 177
69 116
6.48
Lower-middle-income countries
962 492
450 011
2.14
Upper-middle-income countries
423 109
569 227
0.74
High-income countries
238 366
372 305
0.64
Middle-income countries
1 385 601
1 019 238
1.36
More developed regions
201 538
325 024
0.62
Less developed regions
1 871 354
1 136 416
1.65
Less developed regions, excluding least developed countries
1 292 707
1 021 962
1.26
Least developed countries
578 647
114 454
5.06
Less developed regions, excluding China
1 686 034
775 122
2.18
Africa
797 574
133 313
5.98
Eastern Africa
283 247
43 330
6.54
Middle Africa
129 821
14 279
9.09
Northern Africa
86 468
38 690
2.23
Southern Africa
17 197
6 921
2.48
Western Africa
280 842
30 093
9.33
Sub-Saharan Africa
711 106
94 623
7.52
Asia
948 460
895 110
1.06
Eastern Asia
209 916
421 153
0.50
South-Eastern Asia
154 429
115 387
1.34
South-Central Asia
495 914
309 689
1.60
Western Asia
88 201
48 881
1.80
Central Asia
19 653
9 549
2.06
Southern Asia
476 261
300 140
1.59
Europe
107 011
185 601
0.58
Eastern Europe
40 430
56 814
0.71
Northern Europe
19 527
27 693
0.71
Southern Europe
18 331
46 714
0.39
Western Europe
28 723
54 380
0.53
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN
134 030
144 306
0.93
Caribbean
8 667
8 883
0.98
Central America
40 869
37 881
1.08
NORTHERN AMERICA
74 491
93 338
0.80
OCEANIA
11 326
9 773
1.16
Australia/New Zealand
6 683
8 450
0.79
Melanesia
4 309
1 104
3.90
South America
84 494
97 542
0.87
Micronesia
152
96
1.59
Polynesia
182
123
1.48