August 15, 2011
After a weekend of intense battle, the rebels were mostly in control of Zawiya, whose oil refinery is the “holy grail.” Wars, after all, are less about ammunition and more about maneuverability: you can lose for want of gasoline. The Zawiya refinery and assistance from Tunisia have “kept Gaddafi’s forces moving.” With the refinery in the hands of the rebels, the road to Tunisia blocked, and the skies filled with NATO jets pounding Gaddafi forces, the route to victory might actually be short. The rebels are more confident and the government’s morale seems to be slipping. There was a high-ranking [...]
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July 7, 2011
Libya: Although the International Criminal Court has indicted Qaddafi, the future is still uncertain. The African Union has said it will not enforce the warrant for his arrest, as it only serves to prevent a peaceful solution. Tripoli’s security services seem to be fairly active by all reports. However, there are a myriad of other reports which indicate the rebels are closing on the capital and slowly cutting off its supply lines. It seems likely that Qaddafi will quit Libya eventually, but there have been altogether too many rumors to indicate it will happen any time “soon.” Nations are competing [...]
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