egypt

November 21, 2011

“In 30 years, there will be no Christians left” [in the Middle East]?

A chilling trend being discussed anecdotally, although I have yet to see verified numbers.

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November 21, 2011

Curated: Egypt Violence #Nov22

This weekend, Egypt found itself in the midst of enormous protests and a violence crackdown

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November 11, 2011

Egypt links: legalizing churches, but denying entrance?

“Unlicensed churches will be legalized,” AllAfrica.com. A new law will “drop restrictions imposed on the construction of non-Muslim houses of worship.” The law says that governors are to facilitate the construction or restoration of churches—on the condition that the religion or denomination is recognized in Egypt. First question that occurs to me: how many Christian denominations or traditions are recognized? Obviously the Copts are; what others? On the other hand, “Anyone Who Does Not Respect the Country Will Not Enter it.” Egypt refused to allow a Dutch lawmaker to enter due to his “offensive statements” about the country. Now perhaps [...]

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November 7, 2011

The Uncertain Fate of Christians in the Arab Spring

“Citizens or Martyrs? The Uncertain Fate of Christians in the Arab Spring,” Daniel Philpott, Berkley Center for Religion, Peace and World Affairs. Examines the “tense subplot” of the Arab Spring: attacks on Copts in Egypt, Christian fears in Syria, and the suffering of Christians in Iraq.

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October 19, 2011

Water Wars, 2: The Nile

The demands of other users are sparking tensions with Egypt.

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October 18, 2011

What violence against Copts means

Copts are afraid for their future, and many are opting to leave.

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October 10, 2011

Copts killed by police during protest

Links to articles on massacre of Copts.

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August 15, 2011

Egypt: hundreds protest, but will it do any good?

“Egyptians rally for ‘civil state’“: hundreds clash with riot police in Cairo as they try to resurrect rallies aimed at pushing along promised reforms. via Al Jazeera. Important aspects of this element in Egypt’s narrative: hundreds, not thousands or tens of thousands, are involved. Riot police are already disrupting them. They are “trying to resurrect rallies” but “defying Egypt’s military rulers who are eager to prevent any demonstrations there since forcefully clearing a weeks-long sit-in by youth activists last week.” The demonstration in favor of a civil state is “a counter” to a July 30 rally that in favor of “Egypt’s [...]

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August 11, 2011

The dangers of democracy

“Who is going to have the most power” is the essential problem of the Arab Spring. The same problem, in different variations, is to be found in North America, Europe and China. In every variation, each group is afraid they will be put out of power, and will be kept out of power through any means necessary—including electoral fraud or oppression. Thus, while we recognize the value of democracy, we can be afraid of letting the other guy in when he wins the vote. In the context of the Middle East, a number of articles have recently been written about [...]

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August 1, 2011

The Narrative in Egypt: The military is in control

The current trendline in political developments in Egypt is analyzed below. The big narrative is over the upcoming redrafting of the constitution. Will Egypt tend more toward an Islamic state (as the Islamists want), a secular state (as the secularists and Christians want), or one where the majority of the control is in the hands of the military (as the Military Council wants)? The factors: the government’s “guiding principles for the constitution” (pro-military, check on Islamists), parliamentary elections (favor the Islamists), protesters in Tahrir Square (at times favor secularists, but mostly favor Islamists). Recent Developments over the weekend of 29 [...]

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July 20, 2011

Egypt, the Arab Spring, and the short-term future of the church

This post is a collection of analyses of trends related to the Arab Spring uprisings in Egypt. This will inform the trends in North Africa piece that I am working on for early next week. 1. All over North Africa, spring has given way to a long, hot summer, writes Richard Haas in Financial Times. The uprisings have led to a series of developments producing a region that is less tolerant, less prosperous, and less stable than what existed previously–and outsiders can’t do much to change the course of events. a) The most organized groups tend to be government-related (including the military [...]

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April 21, 2011

Rising Religious Tension Sparks Fear In Egyptian City : NPR

Many who took part in Egypt’s popular uprising hoped it would lead to improved relations between the country’s Muslims and the Christian minority.  But in some Egyptian cities, residents say religious tensions are worse than ever. One of the hotspots is the southern Egyptian city of Qena, where there have been several attacks on Christians by Islamist extremists. via Rising Religious Tension Sparks Fear In Egyptian City : NPR. H/T Stan Jeter. Comment below if you have additional links for analysis to share.

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April 9, 2011

Egypt: long live the tyranny 2.0?

Remember our post, “Egypt: the tyrant is gone, long live the tyrant’”? The upshot was that even though Mubarak was gone, there probably wouldn’t be freedom for Egypt. Yes, it’s true the military rulers announced an interim constitution and said presidential elections would be held by November. And it’s true there was a cautious side to this democracy: many were afraid religious radicals would try to implement strict Islamic law through the ballot box. But in the weeks since the overthrow of Mubarak, the secretive 20-man military council has been criticized; and this past week some 10,000 demonstrators began a [...]

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February 14, 2011

Stratfor on Egypt: the distance between Enthusiasm and Reality, and what really was happening behind the scenes

By George Friedman. Egypt: The Distance Between Enthusiasm and Reality is republished with permission of STRATFOR. On Feb. 11, Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak resigned. A military council was named to govern in his place. On Feb. 11-12, the crowds that had gathered in Tahrir Square celebrated Mubarak’s fall and the triumph of democracy in Egypt. On Feb. 13, the military council abolished the constitution and dissolved parliament, promising a new constitution to be ratified by a referendum and stating that the military would rule for six months, or until the military decides it’s ready to hold parliamentary and presidential elections. [...]

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February 11, 2011

Egypt: the tyrant is gone, long live the tyrant?

In Egypt today there is much rejoicing over the withdrawal of Mubarak. Mubarak’s end came quickly, stunningly and Cheers Greet Cairo News. AFP said Mubarak resignation hailed as win for democracy. Already writers are trying to recapture the moment: Analysts: 3 key moments likely drove Egypt’s military. And other nearby nations are wondering if they are next: Mideast nations brace for Egypt spillover. While we should rejoice in this moment (probably) we should not think for a moment that this is necessarily a long-term win for Egypt. As noted before, just because Mubarak is gone does not necessarily mean that [...]

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February 11, 2011

Egypts Democratic Mirage | Foreign Affairs

From Foreign Affairs: “Despite the tenacity, optimism, and blood of the protesters massed in Tahrir Square, Egypts democratic window has probably already closed. Contrary to the dominant media narrative, over the last ten days the Egyptian state has not experienced a regime breakdown. The protests have certainly rocked the system and have put Mubarak on his heels, but at no time has the uprising seriously threatened Egypts regime. Although many of the protesters, foreign governments, and analysts have concentrated on the personality of Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak, those surrounding the embattled president, who make up the wider Egyptian regime, have [...]

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February 10, 2011

Stratfor Red Alert: The Egyptian Military’s Options

Stratfor believes that Mubarak’s refusal to step down has created a situation in which the military must act, and almost certainly within the next six hours (e.g. before dawn). They will either (a) allow the protestors to “storm the palace” so to speak, or (b) block the protestors (and possibly fire on them), or (c) stage a coup. See Red Alert: The Egyptian Military’s Options.

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February 1, 2011

Curated Collection: Unrest in Egypt

Various collected tweets and articles regarding unrest in Egypt. Curated.by aggregated links to Sudan referendum with the potential of splitting the nation in two. _bundleWidget({ bundle_id:3753, title:’Egypt Unrest’, subtitle:’curated.by/justindlong’, scrolling:true, update:true, shell:true, auto_width:false, per_page:20, font_size:’11px’, border_color:’666666′, heading_text_color:’ffffff’, heading_bg_color:’666666′, link_color:’666666′, text_color:’333333′, content_bg_color:’ffffff’, content_divider_color:’cccccc’, width:300, height:450 });

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January 7, 2011

Egypt’s Muslims attend Coptic Christmas mass as “human shields”

What a wonderfully heartwarming set of articles, at least to me: Egypt’s Muslims attend Coptic Christmas mass, serving as “human shields” (read this article, it’s the one that made my eyes water, from Ahram Online) An Egyptian Blogger’s Account of a vigil in Cairo (NYT) Egyptian Muslims act as “human shields” for Coptic Christmas mass (Washington Post) Egypt’s Muslims support Coptic Christians on religious holiday (CNN)

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January 4, 2011

STRATFOR on the strategic implications of Egypt and the Destruction of Churches

Egypt and the Destruction of Churches: Strategic Implications is a new article up by STRATFOR, a recognized independent “think-tank” that provides “global intelligence” to subscribers. In it, George Friedman examines the attacks on Christian churches in Nigeria and Egypt as well as on Christian families in Iraq, and speculates on whether the attacks in Egypt represent a one-time failure of Egyptian security (which has in the past ruthlessly supressed radical Islamists) or whether it harbors a trend for the future. A worthwhile read.

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