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	<title>The Long View &#187; Analysis</title>
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	<link>http://www.justinlong.org</link>
	<description>A voice for unreached peoples: tracking where the church is working--and where it is not.</description>
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		<title>Latin America</title>
		<link>http://www.justinlong.org/2010/08/latin-america/</link>
		<comments>http://www.justinlong.org/2010/08/latin-america/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Aug 2010 18:32:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Justin Long</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.justinlong.org/?p=1597</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This week we begin a six week series focused on the 46 countries of Latin America and the Caribbean. This region of the world is home to some 600 million people&#8211;about 8% of the world&#8211;and is projected to rise to about 700 million by 2025. Racial intermingling has made an exact determination of ethnic groups [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>This week we begin a six week series focused on the 46 countries of Latin America and the Caribbean.</p>
<p>This region of the world is home to some 600 million people&#8211;about 8% of the world&#8211;and is projected to rise to about 700 million by 2025. Racial intermingling has made an exact determination of ethnic groups virtually impossible, but can be generally categorized as Amerindian, Asian, Blacks (descended from African slaves brought to the region during the 16th century), Whites, and mixes these various groups. Asians are primarily found in Brazil and Peru; African descendants are mostly in the Caribbean and Brazil. There are large numbers of European minorities. The population of the region is heavily urban: about three-quarters live in metropolitan areas, and there are 51 megacities (with over 1 million inhabitants). Mexico City and Sao Paulo are among the largest urban agglomerations in the world. Migration is a key issue in Latin America, particularly between the region and the United States. Spanish and Portuguese are the dominant languages, but there are numerous minority and creole languages as well.</p>
<p>Latin America&#8217;s economy has been rapidly developing. Brazil is one of the so-called &#8220;BRIC&#8221; nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China). Most of the Latin American nations have developed to a higher degree than China, although not to the same level as the United States and Europe. However, poverty continues to be a significant issue, and the economic divide between the rich and the poor is a major challenge. Tourism is a key part of the economic life in the area, and many of the countries can be significantly damaged by any downturn in tourists.</p>
<p>At the start of the 20th century the region was almost entirely Roman Catholic, with nearly five centuries of Catholic history. At that time, over 95% of the region&#8217;s population would have professed to be Christian. Today, that percentage is not greatly different. The population as a whole grew by 2.05% per annum over the past century, while Christianity grew by 2.03%: it lost ground slightly, falling from 95% of the population in 1900 to 92% today. The balance has gone to the nonreligious, who now make up nearly 3% of Latin America, and to a small revival in Spiritism, mainly in Brazil. Other world religions have also grown in size although their overall percentage of Latin America remains small: Islam, for example, grew from some 70,000 members in 1900 to nearly 2 million today, but still only make up about 0.3% of the region.</p>
<p>Christians have remained the dominant majority in Latin America, but the makeup of Christianity has changed. Latin America was solidly Catholic at the start of the century. Today Catholics are still large, numbering 478 million out of a total population of 593 million. But the growth rate in the Catholic tradition has fallen far short: for the decade of 2000-10, the population grew at 1.28% but the Catholic tradition grew by just 0.78%. Meanwhile Protestants were growing at 2.52% per year &#8211; nearly double the population &#8211; and thereby increased from 1 million in 1900 to 57 million today. Meanwhile marginal Christians such as Jehovah&#8217;s Witnesses and the Mormons grew from 4,000 in 1910 to 11 million in 2010. The Pentecostal-Charismatic movement has been particularly fast-growing. Today, the largest Catholic Charismatic community can be found in Brazil.</p>
<p>Of course, there is a phenomenal amount of missionary activity focused on Latin America. Some 4,000 missionaries in 350 agencies are at work in the region, not counting the vast numbers of short-term mission trips taken to Latin America every year. Trying to give even a brief accounting of this vast mission work is virtually impossible; it is enough to say that you can call up virtually any denominational mission board, major missionary-sending church or mission agency and, unless they are particularly specialized, you&#8217;ll find they are doing something in this region. At the same time, let us not forget the vast number of missionaries now coming <em>from</em> Latin America to the rest of the world. COMIBAM is the regional network for missions, with a particular emphasis on the unreached. One classic example is <a href="http://www.pminternacional.org">PM International</a>, with a vision to spread the Gospel of the Kingdom among all Islamic peoples.</p>
<p>In the next six weeks we will focus on Central America, the Caribbean, and South America, with spotlights in special countries in each. If you&#8217;re working in this region, we&#8217;d be happy to hear from you!</p>
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		<title>Albania</title>
		<link>http://www.justinlong.org/2010/08/albania/</link>
		<comments>http://www.justinlong.org/2010/08/albania/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Aug 2010 13:00:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Justin Long</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.justinlong.org/?p=1472</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Albania is the focus country for Southern Europe (which we covered last week). It is a small country on the Adriatic Sea just east of Greece. Three quarters of the land is ruggedly mountainous and often inaccessible from the outside. The climate varies from fairly mild on the ocean side to cold and snowy mountains.Albania [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><div>Albania is the focus country for Southern Europe (<a href="http://www.justinlong.org/2010/07/2010-status-of-southern-europe/">which  we covered last week</a>). It is a small country on the Adriatic Sea just east  of Greece. Three quarters of the land is ruggedly mountainous and often  inaccessible from the outside. The climate varies from fairly mild on the ocean  side to cold and snowy mountains.Albania is home to about 3.6 million people. Nearly half live in Albania&#8217;s  cities (600,000 in the capital, Tirane); the rest live in rural areas. Albania  is rapidly urbanizing: people are moving into the cities four times faster than  the population growth. The country is home to <a href="http://www.joshuaproject.net/countries.php?rog3=AL">13 people groups</a>,  of which 2 are unreached (small numbers of Chinese and Jews) and the remaining  groups have significant works among them. Most of the population are Gheg or  Tosk Albanians, with very small churches and Islamic majorities.</p>
<p>Albania was Christianized quite early on, while it was ruled by the Byzantine  Empire. The nation remained under Byzantine and Bulgarian control until the 14th  century. It was captured by the Ottoman empire in the mid-1400s but the people  remained largely Christian. After an abortive rebellion in the late 1400s, the  Ottoman empire took complete control, and by the 17th and 18th centuries there  were mass conversions to Islam. These conversions enabled one to access the  Ottoman trade network, gain a position in the government or join the army.</p>
<p>Albania became independent from the Ottoman empire after the Balkan War in  1912. After World War I, it was ruled by the government of King Zog during a  period of stability. It was invaded by Italy during World War II. Afterward  Enver Hoxha took control and ruled as absolute dictator until 1985. Religious  observance was suppressed and the country was officially declared to be the  world&#8217;s first atheist state. During his rule, Albania was first an ally of the  Soviet Union. After the death of Stalin, Albania became strongly allied with  China. However, that alliance too would dissolve after the death of Mao Zedong.  Albania became more and more isolated, ruled by the iron fist of Hoxha. After  his death in 1985, the new regime introduced liberalizing reforms and led to a  new openness and a transition to a market economy.</p>
<p>Albania has gone through a period in which it was terribly isolated. The  combined effect of war, 46 years of Marxism and the chaotic Balkan wars of the  1990s made it one of the poorest countries in Europe. Economic life is almost  wholly dependent on the money sent home by Albanians living abroad, and the  average income per person within Albania is about $670/year (about $2/day).</p>
<p>Traditionally, some 70% of Albanians are Muslims, 20% Orthodox Christians,  and 10% Catholics. Since the 1990s there has been a significant influx of  missionary activity. Aside from Catholic and Orthodox activity (which are  considerable, but not yet fully catalogued by us), some 45 mission agencies are  at work within the nation. The Albanian Encouragement Project is a long-term  network supporting church planting. Numerous Baptist agencies have numbers of  cross-cultural workers and national pastors at work. (Interestingly, ABCUSA has  deployed Brazilian missionaries to Albania.) The Assemblies of God began doing  Scripture distribution in the 1960s, and today has a Bible college training new  leaders. Likewise, the European Christian Mission began its work with radio  broadcasts in 1968 and upon the opening of Albania began supporting church  planting works in several cities. There are numerous relief and development  projects, as well as microfinance and microenterprise initiativies (note CRY,  ADRA, and Oosteuropa Zending). OM has over a dozen workers focused mostly on  rural ministries (the urban cities are more heavily evangelized by local  churches but less has seeped out into rural areas). Campus Crusade has over 60  workers in a widespread ministry to students. YWAM is also quite large, with 45  workers in 8 locations. This of course is a small recount of some encouraging  news.</p>
<p>Still much remains to be done. The church in Albania makes up just a third of  the population, and the evangelical portion of this is quite small. While there  are probably at least 400 cross-cultural workers laboring on Albania&#8217;s behalf,  much remains to be done. The long-term training of leaders and the strategic  response to Albania&#8217;s economic needs will be critical for the future of  Christianity in this land.</p>
<p><strong><em>Related articles</em></strong><em></em></p>
<p><a href="http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2010/07/a-tooth-for-a-tooth/59974/">A  tooth for a tooth</a>: in certain precincts of Albania, where familial ties  still mean everything, minor grudges have a way of spiraling out of control.</p>
<p><a href="http://al.om.org/">OM Albania&#8217;s web site</a> features information  about Albania as well as what OM&#8217;ers are doing.</p>
<p>The ministry of the <a href="http://www.ecmi.org/132369.ihtml">European  Christian Mission</a> in Albania.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.worldvision.org/content.nsf/sponsor/sponsor-albania">World  Vision&#8217;s work</a> in Albania.</p>
<p><a href="http://orthodoxchristianmissioncenter.wordpress.com/2010/07/28/orthodox-missionaries-need-your-prayers-and-support/">The  Orthodox Church in America</a> is sending missionaries to Albania.</p>
</div>
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		<title>2010 Status of Southern Europe</title>
		<link>http://www.justinlong.org/2010/07/southern-europ/</link>
		<comments>http://www.justinlong.org/2010/07/southern-europ/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Jul 2010 13:00:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Justin Long</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.justinlong.org/?p=1389</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The nations of Southern Europe were once great empires, but most have lost the glories of past positions and are struggling to advance into the modern global economy.The individual countries are fairly small, having few precious commodities but abundant natural resources like timber, water and metals. Many are landlocked, but sit on key trade routes [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>The  nations of Southern Europe were once great empires, but most have lost the  glories of past positions and are struggling to advance into the modern global  economy.The individual countries are fairly small, having few precious commodities  but abundant natural resources like timber, water and metals. Many are  landlocked, but sit on key trade routes between Europe and Asia. Most have  suffered from air and water pollution. Nearly all have experienced severe  earthquakes and continue to be at risk.</p>
<p>Although most of the governments are stable, many are barely so. Albania and  the states of the former Yugoslavia have endured sharp wars but have labored  hard to rebuild. Old tensions continue to bubble: Spain still deals with its  Basque separatist movement, and the former Yugoslavian states with their wounds.  Greece, Italy, Portugal and Spain are trying to come to grips with new economic  and political realities. Crime and corruption are ever present, and Albania  struggles with the drug trade.</p>
<p>Economically, all of these nations have seen better days. Poverty and  unemployment are widespread, with up to a quarter of some of the countries  living below the poverty line. Most of the nations are, to some degree,  dependent on tourism. Aid from the European Union forms a small but significant  minority of national budgets. Sporadic violence still causes both investors and  tourists to be skittish. Southern Europe&#8217;s total GNP is just slightly ahead of  that of Northern Europe, even though it has half again as many people.</p>
<p>With  the exception of Albania, the countries within the region are all  majority-Christian, but this means very little considering the number of ethnic  wars and genocides that have occurred here. Over the past century every state  has experienced religious declines: the non-religious have grown in number  (through defections from Christianity) as have Muslims, who have tripled in  number. At the start of the 1900s most Muslims lived in Albania. Today while the  majority are still there, immigrant Muslims can be found in every country in the  region. Several of the former states of Yugoslavia are strongly Muslim.</p>
<p>Most who profess Christianity belong to the Roman Catholic church, but the  fastest-growing churches are Independents and Marginals (particularly  Charismatics and Jehovah&#8217;s Witnesses). The Catholic church is struggling with  scandals, the aging of its existing priests and nuns, and the decline in the  number of seminary students. Still, while the church is seeing growth, it is  mainly demographic in nature: and in nearly every nation it is not keeping up  with population growth. Thus, right now, the church&#8217;s share of Southern Europe  is in a slow but steady decline.</p>
<table style="padding: 3px; font-weight: normal; font-size: 10pt; border: 1px solid black;" border="0" cellspacing="3" width="100%">
<thead style="font-weight: bold; font-size: 10pt;">
<tr>
<td>Name</td>
<td>Pop</td>
<td>Growth</td>
<td>Chr</td>
<td>Growth</td>
<td>Issues for the church</td>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Albania</td>
<td>3.2</td>
<td><img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>1.0</td>
<td><img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /> <img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>Widespread poverty, unemployment, crime, corruption, drugs, relations with Islam</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Andorra</td>
<td>0.07</td>
<td><img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>0.06</td>
<td><img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /> <img src="/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>Small landlocked nation.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bosnia-Herz</td>
<td>3.9</td>
<td><img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>1.6</td>
<td><img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /> <img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>Reconciliation, reconstruction, poverty, unemployment, corruption.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Croatia</td>
<td>4.5</td>
<td><img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>4.1</td>
<td><img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /> <img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>Reconciliation, reconstruction, poverty, unemployment, relations with Islam.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Gibraltar</td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td><img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td><img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /> <img src="/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>Small country.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Greece</td>
<td>11.2</td>
<td><img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>10.4</td>
<td><img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /> <img src="/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>Tensions with Turkey, EU aid, immigrant workers, unemployment.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Holy See</td>
<td>-</td>
<td><img src="/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>-</td>
<td><img src="/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /> <img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>Scandals, aging</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Italy</td>
<td>59.0</td>
<td><img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>47.5</td>
<td><img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /> <img src="/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>Illegal immigration, crime, corruption, unemployment, rich/poor gap.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kosovo</td>
<td>2.0</td>
<td><img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>0.1</td>
<td><img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /> <img src="/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Macedonia</td>
<td>2.0</td>
<td><img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>1.3</td>
<td><img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /> <img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>Kosovo, economy, poverty, unemployment, grey market.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Malta</td>
<td>0.4</td>
<td><img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>0.4</td>
<td><img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /> <img src="/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Montenegro</td>
<td>0.6</td>
<td><img src="/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>0.5</td>
<td><img src="/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /> <img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Portugal</td>
<td>10.7</td>
<td><img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>9.6</td>
<td><img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /> <img src="/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>Stable but poor, unemployment, competition with Asia.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Marino</td>
<td>0.03</td>
<td><img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>0.02</td>
<td><img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /> <img src="/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Serbia</td>
<td>7.8</td>
<td><img src="/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>6.3</td>
<td><img src="/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /> <img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>Politics, ethnic tensions, poverty, unemployment, sporadic violence.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Slovenia</td>
<td>2.0</td>
<td><img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>1.8</td>
<td><img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /> <img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>Stable, moderately wealthy, few Protestants.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Spain</td>
<td>45.1</td>
<td><img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>40.8</td>
<td><img src="/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /> <img src="/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>Growing economy, tensions over social changes, unemployment.</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p><small><em>Populations in millions. Pop. Growth: Red=Decline, Green=Growth. Christian Growth. 1st Square: Red=Decline, Green=Growth. 2nd Square: Red=Declining share of population; Green=Growing share of population.</em></small></p>
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		<title>2010 Status of Russia</title>
		<link>http://www.justinlong.org/2010/07/russia/</link>
		<comments>http://www.justinlong.org/2010/07/russia/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Jul 2010 13:00:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Justin Long</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.justinlong.org/?p=1386</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Russia is the focus country for Eastern Europe (which we covered last week). It is the largest country in the world, spanning all of Asia and nearly half of Europe, and is the world&#8217;s largest in terms of forest reserves, minerals, and energy resources. Its lakes contain nearly a quarter of the world&#8217;s fresh water. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>Russia is the focus country for Eastern Europe (<a href="http://www.justinlong.org/2010/07/2010-status-of-eastern-europe/">which we  covered last week</a>). It is the largest country in the world, spanning all of  Asia and nearly half of Europe, and is the world&#8217;s largest in terms of forest  reserves, minerals, and energy resources. Its lakes contain nearly a quarter of  the world&#8217;s fresh water. Yet although it has such massive resources and is in  fact the world&#8217;s 9th most populous country, it is only very sparsely populated  with a density of about 23 people per square mile, most of whom live to the west  of the Ural mountains. Moreover, this sparse population is presently on the  decline. Residents in the eastern regions of Russia have in particular dropped  by 25%.</p>
<p>Russia has been hurt in the current global economic climate, but it still an  influential player and part of the so-called &#8220;BRICs&#8221; (Brazil, Russia, India,  China). These are the four largest economies outside of the rich OECD, and the  only developing economies with annual GDPs of over $1 trillion. Yet Russia&#8217;s  crumbling infrastructure and imploding population mean it cannot adequately  exploit the resources it claims to own. Russia&#8217;s economy is presently centered  largely around energy: Gazprom, its natural gas company, is both a source of  revenue and a political weapon. Russia is quite willing to turn off energy  supplies to Europe in order to negotiate what it wants.</p>
<p>The government itself is no longer Communist but still autocratic. It&#8217;s  perhaps not surprising: Russia hasn&#8217;t known anything but autocracy since its  birth. The nation seems to prefer &#8220;strong&#8221; leadership. The government has been  expanding its security powers, yet many businesses are afraid of being victims  of corrupt officials.</p>
<p>Though we perhaps have forgotten it today, Russia became Christian very early  in its history. It was founded sometime between the 3rd and 8th centuries by the  descendants of Viking warriors who settled in Kiev and adopted Orthodox  Christianity in 988. For a time Russia was considered the &#8220;Third Jerusalem&#8221; and  the center of Christianity from which thousands of Orthodox missionaries were  sent out.</p>
<p>After the October 1917 revolution, much of Christianity was heavily  suppressed. Orthodox Christianity, long the dominant form in Russia, had its  numbers cut nearly in half after decades of harassment. Despite this  persecution, tens of millions of Christians remained public with their faith.  After the fall of Communism, numerous missionaries swept in with unfortunately  little regard for or understanding of the existing indigenous Christians  (Catholic, Orthodox, Baptists, in some 470 denominations as of AD 2000). Today  there remains much missionary work by dozens of agencies, but it is being  hampered by increasing restrictions on their activity. At the same time, there  has been a surge in Muslim affiliation. Dagestan, for example, is already  majority Muslim.</p>
<p>Russia today is a World B (non-Christian but heavily evangelized) country.  There are 83 unevangelized people groups in the country, with 6.5 million people  in them, as well as 6 unevangelized cities and 2 unevangelized provinces. A  minimum of 65 new pioneer missionary outreach centers, each able to raise up  local ministries, are needed. That doesn&#8217;t count additional work amongst the 34  heavily evangelized but majority non-Christian peoples, or work needed amongst  those who profess to follow Christ yet are highly nominal.</p>
<p><em>Related articles</em></p>
<p>For Russia&#8217;s distrastrous demographic decline:<br />
<a href="http://www.prb.org/Articles/2002/RussiasDemographicDeclineContinues.aspx">Population Reference Bureau&#8217;s analysis<br />
</a><a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/5056672.stm">BBC on Putin&#8217;s comments<br />
</a><a href="http://www.kavkazcenter.com/eng/content/2009/03/17/10604.shtml">Dire predictions of Russian breakup<br />
</a><a href="http://www.eastwestreport.org/articles/ew11309.html">2003 East-West Church &amp; Ministry Report<br />
</a><a href="http://www.jstor.org/pss/30043966">Europe-Asia Studies, 2005, on the Public Reaction</a></p>
<p><a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/24/world/europe/24church.html?_r=1&amp;pagewanted=1&amp;hp">At expense of all others, Putin picks a church</a> (NYT). &#8220;Just as the government has tightened control over political life, so, too, has it intruded in matters of faith&#8230; The close alliance between the government and the Russian Orthodox Church has become a defining characteristic of Mr Putin&#8217;s tenure&#8230;&#8221;</p>
<p><a href="http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Central_Asia/LG17Ag01.html">Fear takes over Russia&#8217;s businesses</a>. Russia&#8217;s entrepreneurs are increasingly afraid of being victims of corrupt officials, facing the risk of extortion, confiscation or jail.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Central_Asia/LG14Ag01.html">Russia has reasons to stay its hand</a> (AsiaTimes). &#8220;The Russian Federation is more than capable of defending its interests<br />
in the former Soviet space&#8230; but it will not act beyond what is absolutely necessary to preserve its dominance. It is this strategic decision to lie quiet that many analysts have<br />
confused with frailty.&#8221;</p>
<p><a href="http://www.rferl.org/content/Why_The_Russia_Spy_Story_Really_Matters/2095515.html">Why the Russia Spy Story really matters</a> (Radio Free Europe). &#8221;Moscow is skillfully advancing its interests in the West, not through intelligence but business, often supported by crafty industrial espionage, influence-buying, and under-the-table deal-making.&#8221;</p>
<p><a href="http://mnnonline.org/article/14363">Russia rises to the challenge as foreign missionaries are pressured</a> (Mission Network News). &#8221;[This situation] empowers the local believers. It enables them not to be dependent on outside resources or people. It enables them to really take hold of it themselves.&#8221;</p>
<p><a href="http://persecutedchurch.blogspot.com/2009/11/russian-priest-killed.html">Orthodox priest gunned down in Moscow church</a> (Persecuted Church weblog, 2009). &#8220;Fr. Daniil Sysoyev, a Russian Orthodox priest well known for his missionary activities among Muslims, occultists and others, was shot an killed in the St. Thomas the Apostle Church in Moscow on Thursday evening.  The killer reportedly entered the church, asked for the priest by name, and then opened fire at close range with a pistol.&#8221;</p>
<p><a href="http://www.persecution.org/suffering/newssummpopup.php?newscode=11428">Wave of clergy killings in Russia</a> (International Christian Concern). &#8220;The priest was killed because he was not indifferent to disgusting human behavior and took a principled stand against it in accordance with his calling&#8230;&#8221;</p>
<p><a href="http://mnnonline.org/article/13451">Draft legislation threatens to make evangelism nearly impossible</a> (Mission Network News). But it was questioned whether the legislation would hold up to a constitutional challenge.</p>
<p><a href="http://khanya.wordpress.com/2009/05/21/the-difficulty-of-orthodox-evangelism/">The difficulty of Orthodox evangelism</a> (Khanya blog). Analysis of an interesting account of Orthodox evangelism and some of the attendant difficulties.</p>
<p><a href="http://mnnonline.org/article/14333">Christians become ghostlike with increased Muslim influence in Russia</a> (Voice of the Martyrs Canada). &#8220;In Russia&#8217;s Northern Caucasus, bordered by Chechnya to the west, evangelical believers in Dagestan have become almost ghostlike, and what ministry they are doing is facing increased restrictions&#8230;&#8221;</p>
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		<title>2010 Status of Eastern Europe</title>
		<link>http://www.justinlong.org/2010/07/2010-status-of-eastern-europe/</link>
		<comments>http://www.justinlong.org/2010/07/2010-status-of-eastern-europe/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Jul 2010 13:00:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Justin Long</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.justinlong.org/?p=1380</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Eastern Europe (Belarus, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Hungary, Moldova, Poland, Romania, Russia, Slovakia, Ukraine) has one of the largest landmasses of any region in the world. Russia is the largest country in the world, and Ukraine is the second largest in Europe. The region is rich in resources, with farmland, timber, oil and rare metals. It [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>Eastern Europe (Belarus, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Hungary, Moldova, Poland, Romania, Russia, Slovakia, Ukraine) has one of the largest landmasses of any region in the world. Russia is the largest country in the world, and Ukraine is the second largest in Europe. The region is rich in resources, with farmland, timber, oil and rare metals. It is also prone to earthquakes and landslides, and the remoteness and cold make it difficult to utilize these resources or bring them to markets. Heavy industrialization has led to significant soil, water and air pollution. The whole region was affected by the Chernobyl nuclear disaster, but most notably Ukraine and Belorussia (over 20% of the latter was contaminated).</p>
<p>For its size, the region is one of the least populated. About 315 million people lived here in 2000, but no longer: not a single Eastern European country has a growing population. All are aging and in decline. In 2010 the total regional population was estimated at 290 million. By 2025 the population will likely fall to 225 million: ahead of the rest of Europe but smaller than most Afrian, Asian or American regions. Two-thirds live in urban areas: there are nearly 600 megacities but their numbers, too, will likely decline.</p>
<p>Part of the problem is the regional economy. All of the nations have made the transition from communism to market economies, some better than others. While most of the economies are growing, and some are becoming players in the global economy, poverty and unemployment are still widespread. Moldavia remains one of the poorest countries in all of Europe. Over 75 million people in the region live in poverty, many more are poor and underemployed, and hunger and homelessness are readily seen on the streets. Eastern Europe produces just 7% of Europe&#8217;s total GNP.</p>
<p>Government corruption and instability&#8211;both so common as to be accepted without question&#8211;contribute to the economic challenges. Russia&#8217;s governments have been typified by strong, autocratic if not dictatorial leadership for centuries. The smaller countries have governments that are barely stable, although many are becoming more so. Crime is rampant. The combination of these many problems frightens would-be investors. The ongoing warfare in Chechneya only adds to the darkness of the mix.</p>
<p>AIDS is a silent threat, with significant epidemics in Bulgaria, Russia and Ukraine. Far more visible are the cankers of drug addiction and alcoholism.</p>
<p>This region&#8217;s religious climate experienced one of the most dramatic swings during the past century of any worldwide, caused by the 1910 Communist revolution, the 80 year suppression of all religious believers under Communist rule, and then the dramatic new freedoms followed by the collapse of Communism in the 1990s. Despite this, the non-religious remain a significant part of the region (estimated at about 7%). Islam is growing: having risen to 6% of the population (thus nearly equalling the numbers of atheists and agnostics). Jews in the region, once numbering 5% of the population in the early part of the century, have now fallen to less than 1% as most have emigrated to Israel.</p>
<p>The overwhelming majority of the population claim to be Christian of one variety or another. Most belong, if only in name, to the Orthodox or Catholic churches, but Independent and Marginal churches are the fastest-growing. Religious apathy, defections from the faith and inter-traditional rivalries are common. Few are interested in mission to other nations, although there are some indications this is changing. At the same time, although the numbers of nonreligious have fallen, they are still present, and there are a growing number of Muslim immigrants.</p>
<p>In most of the countries, there is significant personal religious freedom and widespread work marred by instances of persecution caused by the efforts of one or two dominant religions to remain dominant. Russia, in particular, is seeing a recurring chilling of religious freedom particularly for smaller groups like Baptists.</p>
<p>By 2025, it is presently unlikely that the religious situation will have dramatically changed. The number of believers will likely be smaller, due to the overall population decline.</p>
<table style="padding: 3px; font-weight: normal; font-size: 10pt; border: 1px solid black;" border="0" cellspacing="3" width="100%">
<thead style="font-weight: bold; font-size: 10pt;">
<tr>
<td>Name</td>
<td>Pop</td>
<td>Growth</td>
<td>Chr</td>
<td>Growth</td>
<td>Issues</td>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Belarus</td>
<td>9.5</td>
<td><img src="http://www.justinlong.org/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>7.0</td>
<td><img src="http://www.justinlong.org/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /> <img src="http://www.justinlong.org/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>Poverty, Chernobyl contamination, influence by Russia</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bulgaria</td>
<td>7.4</td>
<td><img src="http://www.justinlong.org/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>6.2</td>
<td><img src="http://www.justinlong.org/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /> <img src="http://www.justinlong.org/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>Economic growth, corruption, crime, openness.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Czech Republic</td>
<td>10.1</td>
<td><img src="http://www.justinlong.org/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>5.8</td>
<td><img src="http://www.justinlong.org/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /> <img src="http://www.justinlong.org/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>Strategic position, stable economy, openness, apathy.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Hungary</td>
<td>9.9</td>
<td><img src="http://www.justinlong.org/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>8.6</td>
<td><img src="http://www.justinlong.org/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /> <img src="http://www.justinlong.org/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>Economic growth, openness, leader development.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Moldova</td>
<td>3.7</td>
<td><img src="http://www.justinlong.org/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>3.5</td>
<td><img src="http://www.justinlong.org/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /> <img src="http://www.justinlong.org/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>Extreme poverty, agriculture, some restrictions.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Poland</td>
<td>37.9</td>
<td><img src="http://www.justinlong.org/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>36.5</td>
<td><img src="http://www.justinlong.org/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /> <img src="http://www.justinlong.org/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>Poverty, unemployment, pollution, Catholic vs. Evangelical tensions.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Romania</td>
<td>21.1</td>
<td><img src="http://www.justinlong.org/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>20.8</td>
<td><img src="http://www.justinlong.org/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /> <img src="http://www.justinlong.org/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>Poverty, corruption, some restrictions, renewal movements.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russia</td>
<td>140.3</td>
<td><img src="http://www.justinlong.org/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>115.1</td>
<td><img src="http://www.justinlong.org/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /> <img src="http://www.justinlong.org/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>Erosion of democracy, stagnant economy, AIDS, migrants, poverty, war, Islam.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Slovakia</td>
<td>5.3</td>
<td><img src="http://www.justinlong.org/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>4.6</td>
<td><img src="http://www.justinlong.org/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /> <img src="http://www.justinlong.org/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>Growing economy, unemployment, religious openness, lack of vision.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ukraine</td>
<td>45.1</td>
<td><img src="http://www.justinlong.org/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>37.9</td>
<td><img src="http://www.justinlong.org/red.jpg" border="0" alt="" /> <img src="http://www.justinlong.org/green.jpg" border="0" alt="" /></td>
<td>Stabilizing government, growing economy, long Christian heritage.</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p><small><em>Populations in millions. Pop. Growth: Red=Decline, Green=Growth. Christian Growth. 1st Square: Red=Decline, Green=Growth. 2nd Square: Red=Declining share of population; Green=Growing share of population.</em></small></p>
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		<title>Vulnerabilities Journal: June 2010</title>
		<link>http://www.justinlong.org/2010/06/vulnerabilities-journal-june-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://www.justinlong.org/2010/06/vulnerabilities-journal-june-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Jun 2010 15:55:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Justin Long</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vulnerabilities]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.justinlong.org/?p=1343</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Each month we keep an eye on 15 major issues and here link to articles on major events in each category. These are global ‘vulnerabilities’ that can cause significant challenges or opportunities for the church and missions. Some categories will be empty month to month; we keep the categories standard. General Somalia in crisis: Drought, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p><em>Each month we keep an eye on 15 major issues and here link to articles on major events in each category. These are global ‘vulnerabilities’ that can cause significant challenges or opportunities for the church and missions. Some categories will be empty month to month; we keep the categories standard.</em></p>
<p><strong>General</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://news.google.com/news/url?fd=R&amp;sa=T&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.worldtribune.com%2Fworldtribune%2FWTARC%2F2009%2Fmz0958_12_04.asp&amp;usg=AFQjCNHyFOiD3p6hlqABYMgrhd8HSnn1SA">Somalia in crisis: Drought, famine, narcotics trade, Islamic militias, pirates</a></li>
</ul>
<p><strong>1. Wars &amp; Rumors of Wars</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>Sudan landmines:
<ul>
<li><a href="http://www.reliefweb.int/rw/rwb.nsf/db900SID/HHVU-7Y6EPW?OpenDocument&amp;RSS20=25-P">Result of Landmine Impact Survey Sudan (as of Nov 2009)</a></li>
<li><a href="http://www.reliefweb.int/rw/rwb.nsf/db900SID/HHVU-7Y6DXK?OpenDocument&amp;RSS20=25-P">Sudan: Road Threat Map (as of Nov 2009)</a></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><a href="http://news.google.com/news/url?fd=R&amp;sa=T&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bernama.com%2Fbernama%2Fv5%2Fnewsindex.php%3Fid%3D506512&amp;usg=AFQjCNFVmHtlgUffTIOTPXw6H0JR_JpgXQ">Yemen Removes 80 Per Cent Of Landmines- ICRC</a>: some good news.</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>2. Ethnic &amp; Religious Unrest</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>UK: <a href="http://www.christiantoday.com/article/3/weaponsforbibles.scheme.rolls.out.across.the.capital/26054.htm">Weapons for Bibles scheme rolls out across</a> London.</li>
<li>Kyrgyzstan unrest: 2,200+? dead, 400,000+ fleeing<br />
<a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/jun/15/kyrgystan-violence-refugees-aid">Agencies rush aid to Uzbek refugees</a> (Guardian)<br />
<a href="http://rss.csmonitor.com/~r/feeds/top/~3/gFkC9G0scv4/Kyrgyzstan-crisis-spreads-as-100-000-Uzbeks-try-to-flee">Kyrgyzstan crisis spreads as 100,000 Uzbeks try to flee</a> (CSM, MNN) <a href="http://rss.cnn.com/~r/rss/cnn_topstories/~3/d-o1RGD8IC4/index.html"><br />
Uzbekistan closes border amid clashes</a> (CNN)<br />
<a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/rss/-/2/hi/world/asia_pacific/10317138.stm">Running scared</a> after fleeing (BBC)<br />
<a href="http://thelede.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/06/14/video-of-kyrgyz-unrest-on-youtube/?partner=rss&amp;emc=rss">Video of Kyrgyz unrest</a> (Youtube)<br />
<a href="http://www.economist.com/node/16364484?story_id=16364484&amp;fsrc=rss">Stalin’s harvest: what lies behind the violence</a> (Economist)<br />
<a href="http://news.google.com/news/url?fd=R&amp;sa=T&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fnews.xinhuanet.com%2Fenglish2010%2Fchina%2F2010-06%2F16%2Fc_13353053.htm&amp;usg=AFQjCNFg-v3J9Y1319F6-Ci13K5BkpHUAA">China offers humanitarian aid to Kyrgyzstan</a> (Xinhua)<br />
<a href="http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=ea72b01968cd708bceadc7a3b5823977">400,000 Flee in Kyrgyzstan, U.N. Says</a> (6/18, NYT, raising the estimate of the number of refugees)<br />
<a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/06/18/AR2010061802671.html">Kyrgyz leader estimates 2,200 dead</a> (6/18, Washington Post)<br />
<a href="http://www.24-7pressrelease.com/press-release/children-hard-hit-by-violence-in-kyrgyzstan-156747.php">Children Hard Hit by Violence in Kyrgyzstan</a></li>
<li>Iraq: <a href="http://news.google.com/news/url?fd=R&amp;sa=T&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.thenational.ae%2Fapps%2Fpbcs.dll%2Farticle%3FAID%3D%2F20100620%2FFOREIGN%2F706199859%2F1011%2FNEWS&amp;usg=AFQjCNEgV_S7wZKygr883i9w5W0K12Rmkw">Neda, young victim who defined Iran&#8217;s Green uprising, commemorated in film</a></li>
</ul>
<p><strong>3. Earthquakes &amp; Disasters</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://www.reliefweb.int/rw/rwb.nsf/db900SID/HHOO-7YATDV?OpenDocument&amp;RSS20=25-P">World: Reported Floods &#8211; Nov 24 &#8211; 30, 2009</a></li>
<li><a href="http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/05/100525181012.htm?utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed:+sciencedaily+(ScienceDaily:+Latest+Science+News)">The 20th century has been one of the driest in nine centuries for Northwest Africa</a> (Science Daily)</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>4. Famines &amp; Droughts</strong></p>
<p><em>East Africa: severe drought and famine, worst in 20 years</em></p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://news.google.com/news/url?fd=R&amp;sa=T&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com%2Fhostednews%2Fap%2Farticle%2FALeqM5haPdQ5cEWmurV21adg585wBMrHagD9CL718O0&amp;usg=AFQjCNEsrcLCGLkuX22zB3SAm0hNaFFxMg">Aid group: Rains fail again across East Africa</a> (AP), <a href="http://news.google.com/news/url?fd=R&amp;sa=T&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bbc.co.uk%2Fworldservice%2Fafrica%2F2009%2F12%2F091217_drought.shtml&amp;usg=AFQjCNHTGp-YPMo6cbM0s70ap5Gv4XrOXA">Drought threat in East Africa</a> (BBC)</li>
<li><a href="http://news.google.com/news/url?fd=R&amp;sa=T&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fallafrica.com%2Fstories%2F200912160855.html&amp;usg=AFQjCNEaKmh-2TOV2g92g4Pa0Sm9VHHrNA">Africa: An Early Warning System for Droughts</a> (AllAfrica.com), <a href="http://news.google.com/news/url?fd=R&amp;sa=T&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fgbcghana.com%2Fnews%2F30229detail.html&amp;usg=AFQjCNFGGefvmtDGw1tXe5dmA7DesVf7AQ">WMO develops Drought Monitoring System</a> (Ghana Broadcasting Corporation).</li>
<li><a href="http://news.google.com/news/url?fd=R&amp;sa=T&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fedition.cnn.com%2F2009%2FHEALTH%2F12%2F10%2Fdrought.kenya.ethiopia%2F&amp;usg=AFQjCNFhH8szcpt6usqbiXLti3f6FxIisA">Rain &#8216;not enough&#8217; to end hunger in Kenya</a> (CNN)</li>
<li><a href="http://news.google.com/news/url?fd=R&amp;sa=T&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fsomalilandpress.com%2F10028%2Fsomaliland-drought-the-tale-of-one-elderly%2F&amp;usg=AFQjCNFAXxO0VbP9s94lB5SLx3J-aYiIWA">Somaliland &amp; drought: the tale of one elderly.</a> (Somaliland Press)</li>
<li><a href="http://news.google.com/news/url?fd=R&amp;sa=T&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.inspiremagazine.org.uk%2Fnews.aspx%3Faction%3Dview%26id%3D4562&amp;usg=AFQjCNGpPtcxnrpTSUztUE3wlI1UDnXtbQ">Sahel faces worst food crisis for five years</a></li>
</ul>
<p><em>Africa</em></p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=35029&amp;Cr=wfp&amp;Cr1=">Funding shortage forces UN air service to halt aid flights in West Africa</a>: World Food Program flights to Guinea, Sierra Leone and Liberia will be halted.</li>
<li><a href="http://news.google.com/news/url?fd=R&amp;sa=T&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.alertnet.org%2Fthenews%2Ffromthefield%2Fcarintern%2F7e39180ae93d91a56cebcc468096726f.htm&amp;usg=AFQjCNEVYUxjyy6yc3K8yRV0pQ2GPleuEw">Food crisis in Niger worse than in 2005 as millions face hunger</a>. Oxfam on Twitter: Niger has 1 midwife per 33,500 people. Also: 3.3 million people, almost 25% of Niger’s population, are severely food insecure.</li>
<li>RT @<a href="http://twitter.com/BarnabasFund">BarnabasFund</a>: is helping starving Niger Christians as UN says the food crisis is of a magnitude not seen before<a href="http://bit.ly/a9PzOo">http://bit.ly/a9PzOo</a></li>
<li>RT @<a href="http://twitter.com/ywamthailand">ywamthailand</a> @<a href="http://twitter.com/Oxfam">Oxfam</a>: New video frm <a href="http://twitter.com/search?q=%23Chad">#Chad</a> food crisis: women digging anthills to eat grains &amp; seeds ants have stored<a href="http://bit.ly/d44H0C">http://bit.ly/d44H0C</a></li>
</ul>
<p><em>Asia</em></p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://www.reliefweb.int/rw/rwb.nsf/db900SID/HHOO-7Y3T4L?OpenDocument&amp;RSS20=25-P">Nepal Food Security Map (as of Sept 2009)</a></li>
<li>RT @<a href="http://twitter.com/ECHO_net">ECHO_net</a>: In Asia between 1993-2003 decline of poverty was most attributed to better rural agriculture not to migration to cities.</li>
</ul>
<p><em>Americas</em></p>
<p><em>Pacific</em></p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://news.google.com/news/url?fd=R&amp;sa=T&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.abc.net.au%2Fnews%2Fstories%2F2009%2F12%2F16%2F2773853.htm%3Fsection%3Daustralia&amp;usg=AFQjCNGKRF52ZeQuIAPyOxnFl-DPDa3toA">Drought takes tragic toll on farming families</a> (Australia)</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>5. Plagues &amp; Pandemic Disease</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://news.google.com/news/url?fd=R&amp;sa=T&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.dnaindia.com%2Fhealth%2Freport_451-million-clinical-cases-of-malaria-worldwide-in-2007-experts_1397045&amp;usg=AFQjCNGmYAlsYa_RYU-fU9k4XeH8qZTcjQ">451 million clinical cases of malaria worldwide in 2007: Experts</a></li>
<li><a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/lifeandstyle/2007/aug/01/hiv-infection-aids">HIV/Aids: the invisible cure:</a> notes how the main problem in Africa is long concurrent relationships, in which STD protection is not used, but which are violated on occasion by infidelity, through which STDs are spread (unlike in other countries where STDs are spread primarily through the drug trade and prostitution).</li>
<li><a href="http://www.unicef.org/media/media_53980.html#">No money for vaccines puts 120 million at risk of yellow fever</a></li>
</ul>
<p><strong>6. Crime:</strong></p>
<p><strong><em>General crime, violence:</em></strong></p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://www.ucanews.com/2010/06/11/crime-rate-in-orissa-soars-to-indias-highest/">Crime rate in Orissa soars to India’s highest</a></li>
</ul>
<p><strong><em>Ecclesiastical</em>, robbing the church of finances and mars its image.</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://www.ucanews.com/2010/06/16/church-leaders-deny-exposing-seers-sex-scandals/">Church leaders deny exposing sex scandals</a></li>
</ul>
<p><strong><em>Structures of sin</em>, addictions and generational patterns</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://www.fastcompany.com/1559009/porn-the-secret-reason-apples-ipad-will-rock?partner=rss">The iPad’s dirty  little secret to success: pornography</a>? (Fast Company, <em>mostly</em> safe article, a few blurred pictures). But interestingly enough Apple has taken pornography on, and refuses to allow any porn apps in the store. (And the elimination of Flash from the iPad/iPhone may also contribute to success here.)</li>
<li><a href="http://feeds.reuters.com/~r/reuters/topNews/~3/ZhrnwrQ_EKc/idUSTRE65E2DD20100615">New &#8216;morning-after&#8217; pill effective, safe: FDA staff</a>: “to prevent unwanted pregnancy with no unexpected side effects”</li>
<li><a href="http://rss.csmonitor.com/~r/feeds/top/~3/8ng1g6myT8o/Child-porn-too-big-for-law-enforcement-Microsoft-steps-in">Child porn too big for law enforcement? Microsoft steps in</a> (CSM).</li>
<li><a href="http://www.ucanews.com/2010/06/16/thai-women-religious-warn-of-trafficking/">Thai Religious warn of World Cup sex trade</a>: around every sporting event there is usually a flourishing trade in sex.</li>
<li><a href="http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/catholicnewsagency/dailynews/~3/Pzc564fpWJ8/">Woman describes how porn addiction destroyed marriage, calls for more scientific study</a></li>
<li>RT @<a href="http://twitter.com/ecpatusa">ecpatusa</a>: &#8220;9 out of 10 Americans are unaware of the number of people living in sexual slavery&#8221; &#8211; <a href="http://bit.ly/cikbwU">http://bit.ly/cikbwU</a></li>
</ul>
<p><strong><em>Organized crime</em>, and its threat</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://news.google.com/news/url?fd=R&amp;sa=T&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.care2.com%2Fcauses%2Fhuman-rights%2Fblog%2Fus-includes-itself-in-human-trafficking-report-for-first-time%2F&amp;usg=AFQjCNH5K5nkcEl5YztcPZijR_YJFHvNUw">US Includes Itself in Human Trafficking Report for First Time</a>: faults 13 countries for human trafficking</li>
<li><a href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5gJesugYieOra7PfjTwVraPl9gg_wD9G59L4O2">Drugs return to Guinea-Bissau, destabilizing it</a>. <a href="http://news.google.com/news/url?fd=R&amp;sa=T&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fallafrica.com%2Fstories%2F201005270174.html&amp;usg=AFQjCNFYkNK8aBYXm0MK3cKUHF60VHMLqg">Newspaper Office Vandalized for Publishing Narcotic Story</a>. <a href="http://news.google.com/news/url?fd=R&amp;sa=T&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.nytimes.com%2F2010%2F05%2F26%2Fworld%2Fafrica%2F26bissau.html%3Fsrc%3Dmv&amp;usg=AFQjCNElT9BaWyiIi5Qm-LYM34CwOD9svg">Former Exile Holds Power in West African Nation</a>, and the US views the West African nation as a hub of the global drug trade. And it’s spreading: <a href="http://news.google.com/news/url?fd=R&amp;sa=T&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.thisdayonline.com%2Fnview.php%3Fid%3D175585&amp;usg=AFQjCNHgg-H5kO607irpvVEEmZIzAsFKUQ">Gambia&#8217;s Drug Trafficking Dilemma</a>.</li>
<li><a href="http://news.google.com/news/url?fd=R&amp;sa=T&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Faf.reuters.com%2Farticle%2FtopNews%2FidAFJOE65F0D720100616&amp;usg=AFQjCNGAUfN4Chdsn88Wq9lngC4WZ2icSA">Hi-tech navies take on Somalia&#8217;s pirates</a>: how to tell the difference between a pirate and a fisherman? not the fishing gear (which pirates take as a cover) or the AK-47s (which fishermen take for protection). It’s the long metal ladders. (Reuters Africa).</li>
</ul>
<p><strong><em>Terrorism</em></strong></p>
<p><strong><em>Human Rights, oppression, surveillance</em></strong></p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://news.google.com/news/url?fd=R&amp;sa=T&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.guardian.co.uk%2Fworld%2F2010%2Fmar%2F18%2Fcentral-african-republic-human-rights&amp;usg=AFQjCNGj5-0eGk3EmRzz8PCyEGh2MPBLsw">Teaching human rights in Africa</a> (The Guardian)</li>
<li><a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/2010/jun/17/birmingham-stops-spy-cameras-project">CCTV plan for Muslim areas halted</a></li>
<li><a href="http://news.google.com/news/url?fd=R&amp;sa=T&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.jpost.com%2FIsrael%2FArticle.aspx%3Fid%3D178558&amp;usg=AFQjCNGHhU8JjDzI9ofk6ThQncOJo8hDnQ">New surveillance systems in West Bank &#8211; Jerusalem Post</a></li>
</ul>
<p><strong>7. Migration, Refugees</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://news.google.com/news/url?fd=R&amp;sa=T&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Ftimesunion.com%2FAspStories%2Fstory.asp%3FstoryID%3D941586%26category%3DALBANY%26BCCode%3D%26newsdate%3D6%2F16%2F2010&amp;usg=AFQjCNHA_-znbAPUjXhDT-7JZ2j7GqFWjQ">Global conflicts bringing more refugees to Albany</a> (mostly from Iraq and Myanmar)</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>8. Demography &amp; Population Growth</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><strong></strong></li>
</ul>
<p><strong>9. Power, Energy</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=c2b21eb6efb08e3993cd7490d2520fa2">In Nigeria, Oil Spills Are a Longtime Scourge</a>: poor regulation, insufficient maintenance, sabotage.</li>
<li><a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/10311029.stm">Why we may never be able to say goodbye to oil</a>: a decade ago few imagined we would be drilling a mile below the ocean floor in the Gulf of Mexico (BBC).</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>10. Lack of successful youth outreach—which robs the church of its future</strong></p>
<p><strong>11. Nominalism/Apathy</strong></p>
<p><strong>12. Poverty &amp; Economic Unrest</strong></p>
<p><strong>13. Postmodernity—</strong></p>
<p><strong>14. Women &amp; Children—</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/rss/-/2/hi/world/south_asia/10284416.stm">India moves to alter divorce laws</a>, making it easier for couples to divorce (BBC).</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>15. Environment</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/rss/-/2/hi/world/africa/10344622.stm">Africa push for &#8216;great tree wall&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
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		<title>America decreasingly covers the world</title>
		<link>http://www.justinlong.org/2010/06/america-decreasingly-covers-the-world/</link>
		<comments>http://www.justinlong.org/2010/06/america-decreasingly-covers-the-world/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Jun 2010 14:08:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Justin Long</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.justinlong.org/?p=1309</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In this insightful 4-minute talk by Alisa Miller (CEO of Public Radio International), we see how America&#8217;s major news outlets are drastically decreasing their coverage of international events, giving the average American (pew-sitter, donor, short-term mission taker, etc.) much less understanding of events around the world. Worth a watch below or see http://bit.ly/aab4H1.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>In this insightful 4-minute talk by Alisa Miller (CEO of Public Radio International), we see how America&#8217;s major news outlets are drastically decreasing their coverage of international events, giving the average American (pew-sitter, donor, short-term mission taker, etc.) much less understanding of events around the world. Worth a watch below or see <a href="http://bit.ly/aab4H1">http://bit.ly/aab4H1</a>.</p>
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		<title>The problem with mass evangelism</title>
		<link>http://www.justinlong.org/2010/06/the-problem-with-mass-evangelism/</link>
		<comments>http://www.justinlong.org/2010/06/the-problem-with-mass-evangelism/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jun 2010 20:22:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Justin Long</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reality Check]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.justinlong.org/?p=1284</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here are some of the problems with mass evangelism (as I have seen it) (there are of course also many benefits): 1. We do not build long-term relationships with those we evangelize&#8211;the evangelist is the guy who blows into town, hands out tracts, through the force of his wonderful personality sees lots of fruit, and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>Here are some of the problems with mass evangelism (as I have seen it) (there are of course also many benefits):</p>
<p>1. We do not build long-term relationships with those we evangelize&#8211;the evangelist is the guy who blows into town, hands out tracts, through the force of his wonderful personality sees lots of fruit, and then blows out. &#8220;Have tract, will travel.&#8221; (or, &#8220;have film, will travel.&#8221;)</p>
<p>2. We do not answer questions that come up many days down the road &amp; threaten to steal the seed</p>
<p>3. We do not pray with people when they face problems and temptations that threaten to bake the seed</p>
<p>4. We do not disciple them to follow Jesus, only to answer one question (&#8220;do you accept Christ&#8221;) in the way that is expected (&#8220;yes&#8221;) without knowing what it means</p>
<p>5. We do not teach them to be disciple makers, because only people with our skills could really present the gospel in the right way</p>
<p>6. We are susceptible to pride (look at my big mass crusade ministry) rather than lifting others up</p>
<p>7. We are not accountable for our evangelism methods (he didn&#8217;t accept it, it can&#8217;t be how I presented it, after all I have these tracts&#8230;)</p>
<p>8. We are not accountable for preparing the soil for the planting of the seed (a long-term process of relationship)</p>
<p>9. When we have reached everyone around us (I use the term loosely) we are not willing to pick up and move and go somewhere else and live there long term and build relationships</p>
<p>10. We are not willing to have our life be as much a witness as our words and our printed literature</p>
<p>11. We would prefer to send a friend to a nicely reasoned tract or website rather than try to explain it ourselves&#8211;lazy thinking, inability to communicate, unwilling to make mistakes&#8211;pride?</p>
<p>12. We aim for as much fruit as possible in as short a time as possible but neglect what happens after the fruit is harvested. If it sits too long it goes bad, and has to be thrown in the garbage. What&#8217;s the point? It&#8217;s just putting more ministry work on local pastors &#8211; without giving any help.</p>
<p>13. We mostly aim where the fruit is easy &#8211; at people who are apathetic Christians or people in a church that they aren&#8217;t happy with. We aren&#8217;t seeing significant work among non-Christians.</p>
<p>14. We do nothing about the problem of defections from the church.</p>
<p>Can you add more? Really, these aren&#8217;t problems with mass evangelism &#8211; they are problems with us, right?</p>
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		<title>What does a &#8220;missional missionary&#8221; do?</title>
		<link>http://www.justinlong.org/2010/06/what-does-a-missional-missionary-do/</link>
		<comments>http://www.justinlong.org/2010/06/what-does-a-missional-missionary-do/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 07 Jun 2010 14:04:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Justin Long</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.justinlong.org/?p=1257</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Steve Addison asked the question, noting that there is no clear consensus of what &#8220;mission&#8221; is and describing how he is surprised by the range of responses. So, in the interest of clarity, I will suggest my own definition(s). First, let me begin by distinguishing between two different modes: the evangelist, who makes new converts; [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>Steve Addison <a href="http://www.movements.net/2010/06/04/what-does-a-missionary-do.html?utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed:+SteveAddison+(Steve+Addison's+Movements+that+Change+the+World)">asked the question</a>, noting that there is no clear consensus of what &#8220;mission&#8221; is and describing how he is surprised by the range of responses. So, in the interest of clarity, I will suggest my own definition(s).</p>
<p>First, let me begin by distinguishing between two different modes: the <em>evangelist</em>, who makes new converts; and the <em>discipler,</em> who trains converts. (Some folks do both.) Steve notes that there are a &#8220;whole variety of activities that can be missional&#8211;from aid and development, to political action, to drinking coffee with friends. You can even be a &#8216;business apostle.&#8217;&#8221; I would call these activities the &#8220;context&#8221; for evangelism and discipleship. In other words, someone who does relief &amp; development, or teaches English as a second language, is not necessarily an evangelist. But an evangelist <em>can</em> share the good news <em>through</em> these contexts.</p>
<p>Side note: Just because these activities are done <em>without</em> evangelism does not make them bad. Somehow we get into the idea that anything which does not lead to souls won is bad. Sometimes public evangelism isn&#8217;t possible. Sometimes it&#8217;s all about planting a seed. Sometimes it&#8217;s simply about clothing the naked, feeding the hungry, bring water to the thirsty, helping the poor, being with the oppressed, etc.</p>
<p>A <em>home missionary</em> is someone who works in one of the two modes in their own home country. A <em>foreign missionary</em> is someone who works in one of the two modes in a country other than their home country. (Simple enough, eh?) With this globalizing world and its hundreds of millions of foreigners coming to the shores of every country, <em>home missionaries</em> can be just as important and strategic as <em>foreign missionaries</em>.</p>
<p>A <em>home cross-cultural missionary</em> is someone who works in one of the two modes, in their home country, but among an ethnolinguistic group other than their own. So, for example, it&#8217;s the white YWAMer from Texas who ministers to Arabs in Detroit. Or, it&#8217;s the Korean American who&#8217;s working amongst inner city African Americans. When you cross a cultural boundary, having to learn new customs, new languages, etc., it&#8217;s a new stage of difficulty.</p>
<p>A <em>foreign cross-cultural missionary</em> is someone who works in one of the two modes, in a country not their own, among an ethnolinguistic group other than their own. This can be even more difficult!</p>
<p>I also heard a new term the other day. I won&#8217;t steal their thunder by citing the name or the statistics, but let me just say that there is a difference between a full time vocational missionary and a &#8220;part-time evangelist&#8221; who goes to another country for a different reason (e.g. a job) and in the course of making friends can be a witness for Christ. Such &#8220;amateur missionaries&#8221; (and here I am not using the term &#8220;amateur&#8221; in a negative statement about quality, but because this is not their primary professional vocation) can be very effective: perhaps not so effective as professionals on a one-on-one basis, but because there are so many and because they are so relational they can have a cumulatively greater effect.</p>
<p>Finally, we have the distinguishing factors <em>short-term</em> and <em>long-term</em>. I don&#8217;t count someone as &#8220;long-term&#8221; unless they are intentionally present in country for longer than 2 years. (But I have also heard of <em>mid-term</em> which means anywhere from 1 month to 2 years, the typical short-term trip being 2 weeks).</p>
<p>So there&#8217;s my definitions. Hope they are useful. None of the categories are somehow &#8220;less than&#8221; other categories. But I will say that we have significantly more home missionaries than foreign missionaries, more short-term than long-term, more same-culture than cross-cultural. I think we all know why.</p>
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		<title>Church planting in the United States</title>
		<link>http://www.justinlong.org/2010/04/church-planting-in-the-united-states/</link>
		<comments>http://www.justinlong.org/2010/04/church-planting-in-the-united-states/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Apr 2010 14:20:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Justin Long</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Minipost]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[church planting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[usa]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.justinlong.org/?p=993</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In Exponential and Church Planting Trends, Ed Stetzer shares the results of a recent Lifeway REsearch survey. 3% of Protestant churches started new churches in the past year. 14% financially supported new church plants. Fortunately more new churches have been started than established churches have closed: but &#8220;we have a long way to go.&#8221;]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>In <a href="http://www.edstetzer.com/2010/04/exponential-and-church-plantin.html">Exponential and Church Planting Trends</a>, Ed Stetzer shares the results of a recent Lifeway REsearch survey. 3% of Protestant churches started new churches in the past year. 14% financially supported new church plants. Fortunately more new churches have been started than established churches have closed: but &#8220;we have a long way to go.&#8221;</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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