Stratfor’s annual forecast for 2012 is out, and for a limited time is readable online without a subscription. It’s fascinating because Stratfor projects the world is in a “generational shift” similar to the one that occurred in 1989-91.
That particular shift, of course, happened as GenX (1965-85) was coming into adulthood. I, for example, voted for the first time in the ’88 election, and remember quite well the events of the period.
This shift (2012-) comes as Millennials are moving into significant power. The oldest of them are 27 (depending on which numbers you use for the start/end markers). Most Millennials, however, are clearly in their early 20s; they were a potent force in the last election.
It’s well worth reading Stratfor’s analysis in the light of generational dynamics. I’ve written about this before; the most notable recent post is here.
Is this going to be the conclusion of the Crisis (a la the Fourth Turning)? I doubt it, but I see this period as a very significant turning point, and I think some solutions will start to present themselves on the event horizon.
No related posts.
