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2010 Status of Southern Europe

July 26, 2010

in Analysis

The nations of Southern Europe were once great empires, but most have lost the glories of past positions and are struggling to advance into the modern global economy.The individual countries are fairly small, having few precious commodities but abundant natural resources like timber, water and metals. Many are landlocked, but sit on key trade routes between Europe and Asia. Most have suffered from air and water pollution. Nearly all have experienced severe earthquakes and continue to be at risk.

Although most of the governments are stable, many are barely so. Albania and the states of the former Yugoslavia have endured sharp wars but have labored hard to rebuild. Old tensions continue to bubble: Spain still deals with its Basque separatist movement, and the former Yugoslavian states with their wounds. Greece, Italy, Portugal and Spain are trying to come to grips with new economic and political realities. Crime and corruption are ever present, and Albania struggles with the drug trade.

Economically, all of these nations have seen better days. Poverty and unemployment are widespread, with up to a quarter of some of the countries living below the poverty line. Most of the nations are, to some degree, dependent on tourism. Aid from the European Union forms a small but significant minority of national budgets. Sporadic violence still causes both investors and tourists to be skittish. Southern Europe’s total GNP is just slightly ahead of that of Northern Europe, even though it has half again as many people.

With the exception of Albania, the countries within the region are all majority-Christian, but this means very little considering the number of ethnic wars and genocides that have occurred here. Over the past century every state has experienced religious declines: the non-religious have grown in number (through defections from Christianity) as have Muslims, who have tripled in number. At the start of the 1900s most Muslims lived in Albania. Today while the majority are still there, immigrant Muslims can be found in every country in the region. Several of the former states of Yugoslavia are strongly Muslim.

Most who profess Christianity belong to the Roman Catholic church, but the fastest-growing churches are Independents and Marginals (particularly Charismatics and Jehovah’s Witnesses). The Catholic church is struggling with scandals, the aging of its existing priests and nuns, and the decline in the number of seminary students. Still, while the church is seeing growth, it is mainly demographic in nature: and in nearly every nation it is not keeping up with population growth. Thus, right now, the church’s share of Southern Europe is in a slow but steady decline.

Name Pop Growth Chr Growth Issues for the church
Albania 3.2 1.0 Widespread poverty, unemployment, crime, corruption, drugs, relations with Islam
Andorra 0.07 0.06 Small landlocked nation.
Bosnia-Herz 3.9 1.6 Reconciliation, reconstruction, poverty, unemployment, corruption.
Croatia 4.5 4.1 Reconciliation, reconstruction, poverty, unemployment, relations with Islam.
Gibraltar 0.02 0.02 Small country.
Greece 11.2 10.4 Tensions with Turkey, EU aid, immigrant workers, unemployment.
Holy See - - Scandals, aging
Italy 59.0 47.5 Illegal immigration, crime, corruption, unemployment, rich/poor gap.
Kosovo 2.0 0.1
Macedonia 2.0 1.3 Kosovo, economy, poverty, unemployment, grey market.
Malta 0.4 0.4
Montenegro 0.6 0.5
Portugal 10.7 9.6 Stable but poor, unemployment, competition with Asia.
San Marino 0.03 0.02
Serbia 7.8 6.3 Politics, ethnic tensions, poverty, unemployment, sporadic violence.
Slovenia 2.0 1.8 Stable, moderately wealthy, few Protestants.
Spain 45.1 40.8 Growing economy, tensions over social changes, unemployment.

Populations in millions. Pop. Growth: Red=Decline, Green=Growth. Christian Growth. 1st Square: Red=Decline, Green=Growth. 2nd Square: Red=Declining share of population; Green=Growing share of population.

{ 2 comments }

Heinz July 26, 2010 at 3:48 pm

So as a Charismatic, I get grouped as “marginal” together with Jehovah’s Witnesses?

Greece is 10.4% Christian and Italy 47.5%? I guess it depends really on how you define a Christian. If it is someone who belongs to the Catholic Church (as seemed to be implied in the article), then I doubt that Greece has that many. If it is someone who belongs to any Christian denomination, then I doubt that Greece would have so few. Then it should be closer to 95% for Greece. Strange article.

This was also a weird sentence that I cannot make sense of: Southern Europe’s total GNP is just slightly ahead of that of Northern Europe, even though it has half again as many people.

Huh? That’s just strange.

I dug out the GDPs from Wikipedia, and came to:

Southern Europe:

Italy 2,112,780
Spain 1,460,250
Greece 329,924
Portugal 227,676
Ireland 227,193
Croatia 63,034
Slovenia 48,477
Serbia 42,594
Cyprus 24,910
Bosnia and Herzegovina 17,122
Albania 11,834
Macedonia 9,221
Malta 7,449
Monaco 6,919
Montenegro 4,086
Andorra 3,712
TOTAL: 4,597,181

Northern Europe:

Germany 3,346,702
France 2,649,390
United Kingdom 2,174,530
Netherlands 792,128
Switzerland 500,260
Belgium 468,522
Poland 430,079
Sweden 406,072
Austria 384,908
Norway 381,766
Denmark 309,596
Finland 237,512
Ireland 227,193
Czech Republic 190,274
Romania 161,110
Hungary 128,964
Ukraine 113,545
Kazakhstan 109,115
Slovakia 87,642
Luxembourg 52,449
Belarus 48,984
Bulgaria 47,100
Lithuania 37,206
Latvia 26,195
Estonia 19,084
Iceland 12,133
Liechtenstein 5,028
Isle of Man 4,076
Faroe Islands 2,198

Total GDP: 13,353,761

Justin Long July 26, 2010 at 4:12 pm

Thanks for the chance to clarify! (1) Charismatics are under independents; JWs under marginals. (2) The Christian numbers are the total population in millions, just as the Population numbers are: Greece has a population of 11.2 million, with 10.4 professing to be Christian (not 10.4%). (3) According to the numbers I have on file for GNP (not GDP, which does not include exports), Southern Europe has a total GNP of $1.88 trillion vs Northern Europe’s $1.84 trillion. I am using UN stats which are divided between Northern, Southern, Western and Eastern Europe. The “Northern Europe” listed above does not conform; it includes several nations found in Western or Eastern Europe.

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